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ARC WEATHER 26/11 0600Z - FORECAST UPDATE #2



ARC WEATHER 26/11 0600Z - FORECAST UPDATE #2
26/11/2014


SYNOPSIS : A strong mid ocean high near 35N/42W extends an axis of moderate ridging ESE toward and south of the Canary Islands. This will tend to shift S thru tonight as a gale approaches from the north.

A small gale west of Portugal near 40N/17W will strengthen as it moves SE today, then begin to weaken tonight as it continues to just south of Cabo de Sao Vicente by tomorrow morning.

A strong front associated with a strong and large storm across the North Atlantic will move SE across the Azores tomorrow and by late tomorrow it will extend from west of Cape Finesterre SW to near Madeira and then W to the south of the Azores. The front will continue ESE into S'rn Iberia and Gibraltar to the canaries by am 28/11, then pushing farther S to along 25S near and east of 30W by late 28/11.

Conclusion: vessels in grids AA and BB will see higher swells due to aforementioned gale on 27/11. Vessel in n'rn half of grid CC will also see higher swells, with lower swells expected in s'rn half of grid CC and s'rn 1/4 of grids BB and AA. General lighter swell is expected in grids GG and HH.

Vessels will see enhanced winds along n'rn half of grids AA and BB, with particularly higher funnelling winds of up to 30-35 knots in n'rn exposed waters, and in between islands.

Vessels in grids HH and GG will see generally building swells, but overall swells will remain lightest in grids GG and HH. Winds are expected to remain lightest in grid HH and west GG.

T = 26/11 0600 UTC

ISOLATED SHWRS/SQUALLS* IN ALL GRIDS THROUGHT THE FORECAST PERIOD.

AA:

T:  WINDS N-NE 14-19KTS SEAS 2-3 SWELLS NW-N 5-7FT (3SEC SKIES PRTLY CLDY CURRENTS FROM NE @ 0.5KTS.
T+12:  WINDS NW-N 12-17KTS SEAS 2-4 SWELLS NW-N 6-8FT (3SEC) SKIES PRTLY CLDY CURRENTS FROM NE @ 0.6KTS.
T+24:  WINDS NW-N 13-18KTS SEAS 3-5 SWELLS NW-N BUILD 10-14FT (2SEC) SKIES PRTLY CLDY CURRENTS FROM NE @ 0.2KTS.
T+36:  WINDS NW-N 12-17KTS SEAS 4-5 SWELLS NW-N 14-17FT (2SEC) SKIES PRTLY CLDY CURRENTS FROM N @ 0.2KTS.

BB:

T:  WINDS NW-N 14-19KTS SEAS 3-5 SWELLS NW-N  6-9FT  (5SEC) SKIES PRTLY CLDY CURRENTS FROM SE @ 0.5KTS.
T+12:  WINDS N-NE 15-20KTS SEAS 3-5 SWELLS NW-N 8-11FT (6SEC) SKIES PRTLY CLDY CURRENTS FROM NE @ 0.2KTS.
T+24:  WINDS N-NE 10-15KTS SEAS 2-4 SWELLS NW-N 9-12FT (6SEC) SKIES PRTLY CLDY CURRENTS FROM ESE @ 0.3KTS.
T+36:  WINDS N-NE  14-19KTS SEAS 4-5 SWELLS NW-N  BUILD 11-15FT (5SEC) SKIES PRTLY CLDY CURRENTS FROM NNE @ 0.4KTS.

CC:

T:  WINDS N-NE 17-22KTS SEAS 2-4 SWELLS N-NE  9-12FT  (7SEC) SKIES PRTLY CLDY CURRENTS FROM SE @ 0.4KTS.
T+12:  WINDS NE-E  18-23KTS SEAS 3-5 SWELLS N-NE 8-11FT  (7SEC) SKIES PRTLY CLDY CURRENTS FROM SE @ 0.4KTS.
T+24:  WINDS NE-E 16-21KTS SEAS 2-4 SWELLS N-NE 7-10FT (7SEC) SKIES MOSTLY CLDY CURRENTS FROM E @ 0.3KTS.
T+36:  WINDS NE-E 18-23KTS SEAS 3-5 SWELLS N-NE 6-9FT (7SEC) SKIES PRTLY CLDY CURRENTS FROM SSE @ 0.3KTS.

GG:

T:  WINDS NE-E 21-26KTS SEAS 3-4 SWELLS N-NE  BUILD 6-10FT  (2SEC) SKIES PRTLY CLDY CURRENTS FROM SW @ 0.6KTS.
T+12:  WINDS NE-E 19-24KTS SEAS 3-4 SWELLS N-NE BUILD 6-10FT (2SEC) SKIES CLDY  CURRENTS FROM WSW @ 0.3KTS.
T+24:  WINDS NE-E 22-27KTS SEAS 3-5 SWELLS N-NE 8-11FT (2SEC) SKIES CLDY CURRENTS FROM SW @ 0.4KTS.
T+36:  WINDS NE-E 18-23KTS SEAS 2-4 SWELLS N-NE 8-11FT (2SEC) CURRENTS FROM WSW @ 0.8KTS.

HH:

T:  WINDS NE-E 18-23KTS SEAS 3-4 SWELLS N-NE  BUILD 6-10FT (5SEC) CURRENTS FROM NNE @ 0.4KTS.
T+12:  WINDS NE-E 19-24KTS SEAS 3-5 SWELLS N-NE 7-10FT (5SEC) SKIES CLDY CURRENTS FROM SE @ 0.1KTS.
T+24:  WINDS NE-E 20-25KTS SEAS 3-5 SWELLS N-NE 8-11FT (6SEC) SKIES CLDY CURRENTS FROM ENE @ 0.2KTS.
T+36:  WINDS NE-E 23-28KTS SEAS 3-5 SWELLS N-NE 7-10FT (6SEC) SKIES CLDY CURRENTS FROM ENE @ 0.3KTS.

* WINDS AND SEAS HIGHER IN SQUALLS