Synopsis: a complex storm with mean center near 45N/15W this morning will track SE to west of Cabo De Sao Vicente thru tonight as it weakens to a gale, then meander E over the Alboran Sea thru tomorrow night. The gale will weaken to a broad low east of the Balearics by the night of 30/11. An associated strong cold front extends SW along the w'rn Iberian Peninsula to Madeira and move SE over Morocco thru tomorrow. A residual trough low pressure will linger from the central Alboran Sea thru west of Gibraltar thru 1/12, before dissipating. Farther west, ridge of high pressure currently centered over mid-ocean 30N/40W will move NE toward the Azores thru 30/11, with associated ridging extend from the UK SW thru 25N/45W by that time.=A0 This high pressure will merge with a broader high center building along 50N over the ne'rn Atlantic on 1/12 and 2/12. By 2/12, ridging will extend s'ward cover waters west of Iberia thru the Canaries to 20N, and W to 35W. Little overall change is expected thru 4/12 as another reinforcing high center builds to the north of the Azores. Conclusion: swells will build from north to south in e'rn grids, AA, BB, CC, GG, and HH due to aforementioned storm/gale. Swells will be lowest overall in w'rn grids DD and II. Swells in grid AA will be highest in n'rn grid, with lower swells expected in more protected waters over the next several days in grid AA. Swells in all of these grids will gradually lower thru 1/12 as gale/storm weakens. Winds will be highest in n'rn grids AA, BB, CC with lighter winds in s'rn grids, GG ,HH, II and grid DD. T = 28/11 1200 UTC SCATTERED OR ISOLATED SHWRS/SQUALLS* IN ALL GRID AREAS AA:
T: WINDS SW-W 29-34KTS SEAS 5-7 SWELLS W-NW 20-23FT (3SEC) SKIES PRTLY CLDY CURRENTS FROM W @ 0.5KTS.
T+12: WINDS W-NW 25-30KTS SEAS 6-8 SWELLS W-NW BUILD 19-24FT (3SEC) SKIES PRTLY CLDY CURRENTS FROM WNW @ 0.4KTS.
T+24: WINDS W-NW 22-27KTS SEAS 3-5 SWELLS WNW-NNW 22-25FT (3SEC) SKIES PRTLY CLDY CURRENTS FROM NNW @ 0.3KTS.
T+36: WINDS W-NW 18-23KTS SEAS 3-5 SWELLS WNW-NNW BUILD 20-24FT (3SEC) SKIES CLOUDY CURRENTS FROM NNE @ 0.2KTS.
BB:
T: WINDS W-NW 24-29KTS SEAS 5-7 SWELLS WNW-NNW BUILD 20-24FT (6SEC) SKIES PRTLY CLDY CURRENTS FROM NNW @ 0.5KTS.
T+12: WINDS W-NW 22-27KTS SEAS 6-7 SWELLS NW-N 24-27FT (7SEC) SKIES PRTLY CLDY CURRENTS FROM NNE @ 0.5KTS.
T+24: WINDS W-NW 19-24KTS SEAS 3-5 SWELLS N-NNE 26-29FT (9SEC) SKIES CLOUDY CURRENTS FROM NNW @ 0.3KTS.
T+36: WINDS NW-N 16-21KTS SEAS 3-5 SWELLS NW-N 24-27FT (8SEC) SKIES PRTLY CLDY CURRENTS FROM ENE @ 0.3KTS.
CC:
T: WINDS NW-N 15-20KTS SEAS 4-6 SWELLS N-NNE 16-19FT (7SEC) SKIES PRTLY CLDY CURRENTS FROM ENE @ 0.4KTS.
T+12: WINDS N-NE 16-21KTS SEAS 4-5 SWELLS N-NNE BUILD 18-22FT (7SEC) SKIES PRTLY CLDY CURRENTS FROM ENE @ 0.2KTS.
T+24: WINDS N-NE 17-22KTS SEAS 3-5 SWELLS N-NNE BUILD 17-21FT (10SEC) SKIES PRTLY CLDY CURRENTS FROM ENE @ 0.4KTS.
T+36: WINDS N-NE 14-19KTS SEAS 2-4 SWELLS N-NNE 16-19FT (9SEC) SKIES PRTLY CLDY CURRENTS FROM ENE @ 0.1KTS.
DD:
T: WINDS N-NE 12-17KTS SEAS 1-3 SWELLS N-NNE 9-12FT (7SEC) SKIES MOSTLY CLOUDY CURRENTS FROM E / WEAKKTS.
T+12: WINDS N-NE 12-17KTS SEAS 1-3 SWELLS N-NNE 9-12FT (7SEC) SKIES CLOUDY CURRENTS FROM NNE @ 0.2KTS.
T+24: WINDS N-NE 12-17KTS SEAS 1-3 SWELLS N-NNE 8-11FT (7SEC) SKIES MOSTLY CLOUDY CURRENTS FROM SSW @ 0.1KTS.
T+36: WINDS NE-E 11-16KTS SEAS 1-3 SWELLS N-NNE 8-11FT (11SEC) SKIES CLOUDY CURRENTS FROM NNE @ 0.2KTS. GG:
T: WINDS NE-N 10-15KTS SEAS 2-3 SWELLS N-NNE 9-12FT (2SEC) SKIES PRTLY CLDY CURRENTS FROM SSW @ 0.5KTS.
T+12: WINDS N-NW 12-17KTS SEAS 2-3 SWELLS N-NNE 10-13FT (2SEC) SKIES MOSTLY CLOUDY CURRENTS FROM W @ 0.2KTS.
T+24: WINDS NW-W 12-17KTS SEAS 2-3 SWELLS N-NNE 12-15FT (2SEC) SKIES MOSTLY CLOUDY CURRENTS FROM W @ 0.4KTS.
T+36: WINDS NW-N 11-16KTS SEAS 2-4 SWELLS N-NNE BUILD 15-20FT (2SEC) SKIES PRTLY CLDY CURRENTS FROM WSW @ 0.4KTS.
HH:
T: WINDS N-NE 12-17KTS SEAS 2-4 SWELLS N-NE=A0 9-12FT (6SEC) SKIES MOSTLY CLOUDY CURRENTS FROM N @ 0.2KTS.
T+12: WINDS N-NE 12-17KTS SEAS 2-3 SWELLS N-NE 9-12FT (5SEC) SKIES PRTLY CLDY CURRENTS FROM NE @ 0.4KTS.
T+24: WINDS N-NE 13-18KTS SEAS 1-3 SWELLS N-NNE 11-14FT (7SEC) SKIES PRTLY CLDY CURRENTS FROM SSW @ 0.1KTS.
T+36: WINDS N-NE 14-19KTS SEAS 2-4 SWELLS N-NNE 11-14FT (12SEC) SKIES PRTLY CLDY CURRENTS FROM NNE @ 0.5KTS. II:
T: WINDS NE-E 17-22KTS SEAS 3-4 SWELLS NE-E 8-11FT (8SEC) SKIES CLOUDY CURRENTS FROM ENE @ 0.4KTS.
T+12: WINDS NE-E 15-20KTS SEAS 2-4 SWELLS N-NNE 8-11FT (7SEC) SKIES CLOUDY CURRENTS FROM NNE @ 0.5KTS.
T+24: WINDS NE-E 14-19KTS SEAS 2-3 SWELLS N-NNE 7-10FT (7SEC) SKIES MOSTLY CLOUDY CURRENTS FROM NNE @ 0.5KTS.
T+36: WINDS NE-E 13-18KTS SEAS 2-3 SWELLS N-NNE 7-10FT (7SEC) SKIES CLOUDY CURRENTS FROM NNE @ 0.6KTS. * WINDS AND SEAS HIGHER IN SQUALLS
|