Synopsis: Broad gale centered over se'rn Spain will move ENE over Balearics thru today. Gale circulations extend SW over Gibraltar towards Canaries this morning, but will begin to separate from the gale and form a thermal trough from n'rn Morocco along s'rn Portugal tonight into tomorrow morning.
High pressure centered near 35N/33W will move NE over Azores thru tomorrow morning, weakening. Ridging extends across the e'rn central Atlantic towards 22N and SE towards 25W this morning from said High, and will remain in place thru tomorrow and 2/12. Elongated frontal boundary extends SW from near 40N/38W towards 25N/55W. Front will deepen into a sharp inverted trough by tomorrow morning while sliding E slightly, then remain in place thru early 3/12, with the s'rn portion broadening between 55W and 45W between 27N and 20N. In the long range, n'rn portion forms a weak low and moves over Azores by early 4/12, with s'rn portion remaining broad and sliding E between 65W and 50W thru midday 4/12 while strong High pressure builds and moves E across the north Atlantic above these two features.
Conclusion: Very large swells across AA, BB, CC, HH, and far e'rn DD will lower thru today as high pressure ridging extends across the grids. Ridging across the central Atlantic will garner typical trade winds and associated elevated swells thru the next few days. However, frontal boundary noted above will weaken ridging during this time, lowering winds across EE, JJ, and KK. Moving forward, with noted broad trough expected across FF, KK, and II by 3/12, expect stronger winds to the south (such as within GG and far s'rn KK), with widespread squall activity across KK and FF due to said broad trough.
T = 30/11 0600 UTC
ISOLATED OR SCATTERED SHWRS/SQUALLS* IN ALL GRID AREAS
AA:
T: WINDS NW-N 12-17KTS SEAS 2-3 SWELLS NW-N LOWER 10-6FT (4SEC) SKIES PRTLY CLDY CURRENTS FROM NNE @ 0.4KTS.
T+12: WINDS W-NW 10-15KTS SEAS 2-3 SWELLS NW-N 4-6FT (4SEC) SKIES MSTLY CLDY CURRENTS FROM NNW @ 0.2KTS.
T+24: WINDS WNW-NNW 09-14KTS SEAS 2-3 SWELLS NW-N 3-5FT (2SEC) SKIES CLDY CURRENTS FROM N @ 0.1KTS.
T+36: WINDS NNW-NNE 09-14KTS SEAS 2-3 SWELLS NNW-NNE 3-5FT (3SEC) SKIES PRTLY CLDY CURRENTS FROM N @ 0.3KTS. BB:
T: WINDS NNW-NNE 13-18KTS SEAS 2-3 SWELLS NNW-NNE LOWER 13-10FT (8SEC) SKIES MSTLY CLDY CURRENTS FROM ENE @ 0.1KTS.
T+12: WINDS NNW-NNE 15-20KTS SEAS 3-4 SWELLS NNW-NNE LOWER 10-7FT (7SEC) SKIES PRTLY CLDY CURRENTS FROM N @ 0.3KTS.
T+24: WINDS NNW-NNE 17-22KTS SEAS 3-4 SWELLS NNW-NNE 6-8FT (7SEC) SKIES PRTLY CLDY CURRENTS FROM E @ 0.1KTS.
T+36: WINDS N-NE 19-24KTS SEAS 4-5 SWELLS NNW-NNE 6-8FT (3SEC) SKIES MSTLY CLDY CURRENTS FROM N @ 0.3KTS.
CC:
T: WINDS NNE-ENE 13-18KTS SEAS 2-3 SWELLS NNW-NNE LOWER 11-8FT (9SEC) SKIES PRTLY CLDY CURRENTS FROM E @ 0.5KTS.
T+12: WINDS NE-E 13-18KTS SEAS 2-3 SWELLS NNW-NNE 7-9FT (8SEC) SKIES PRTLY CLDY CURRENTS FROM E @ 0.3KTS.
T+24: WINDS NE-E 14-19KTS SEAS 3-4 SWELLS N-NE 6-8FT (7SEC) SKIES PRTLY CLDY CURRENTS FROM E @ 0.4KTS.
T+36: WINDS NE-E 15-20 GUSTS 23KTS SEAS 3-4 SWELLS N-NE 5-7FT (6SEC) SKIES PRTLY CLDY CURRENTS FROM ENE @ 0.3KTS. HH: T: WINDS NNE-ENE 11-16KTS SEAS 2-3 SWELLS NNW-NNE 10-12FT (11SEC) SKIES PRTLY CLDY CURRENTS FROM ENE @ 0.3KTS.
T+12: WINDS NE-E 14-19KTS SEAS 3-4 SWELLS NNW-NNE 9-11FT (9SEC) SKIES PRTLY CLDY CURRENTS FROM SSE @ 0.5KTS.
T+24: WINDS NE-E 14-19KTS SEAS 3-4 SWELLS NNW-NNE 8-10FT (7SEC) SKIES PRTLY CLDY CURRENTS FROM NW @ 0.2KTS.
T+36: WINDS ENE-ESE 15-20KTS SEAS 3-4 SWELLS N-NE 7-9FT (6SEC) SKIES PRTLY CLDY CURRENTS FROM SE @ 0.7KTS. NN:
T: WINDS NNE-ENE 09-14KTS SEAS 2-3 SWELLS N-NE 9-11FT (9SEC) SKIES PRTLY CLDY CURRENTS FROM N @ 0.2KTS.
T+12: WINDS NE-E 09-14KTS SEAS 2-3 SWELLS N-NE 8-10FT (7SEC) SKIES PRTLY CLDY CURRENTS FROM NE @ 0.5KTS.
T+24: WINDS NNE-ENE 12-17KTS SEAS 2-3 SWELLS N-NE 7-9FT (3SEC) SKIES PRTLY CLDY CURRENTS FROM E @ 0.2KTS.
T+36: WINDS NE-E 14-19KTS SEAS 3-4 SWELLS N-NE 6-8FT (3SEC) SKIES MSTLY CLDY CURRENTS FROM NE @ 0.3KTS.
DD:
T: WINDS NE-E 09-14KTS SEAS 2-3 SWELLS NNW-NNE 6-8FT (10SEC) SKIES CLDY CURRENTS FROM SSE @ 0.4KTS.
T+12: WINDS NNE-ENE 12-17KTS SEAS 2-3 SWELLS NNW-NNE 5-7FT (10SEC) SKIES MSTLY CLDY CURRENTS FROM SSW @ 0.3KTS.
T+24: WINDS NE-E 14-19KTS SEAS 3-4 SWELLS N-NE 5-7FT (10SEC) SKIES MSTLY CLDY CURRENTS FROM SE @ 0.4KTS.
T+36: WINDS ENE-ESE 14-19KTS SEAS 3-4 SWELLS N-NE 5-7FT (9SEC) SKIES PRTLY CLDY CURRENTS FROM SSW @ 0.6KTS.
II:
T: WINDS ENE-ESE 10-15KTS SEAS 2-3 SWELLS N-NNE 5-7FT (7SEC) SKIES CLDY CURRENTS FROM E @ 0.3KTS.
T+12: WINDS NE-E 13-18KTS SEAS 2-3 SWELLS N-NNE 5-7FT (12SEC) SKIES MSTLY CLDY CURRENTS FROM NE @ 0.6KTS.
T+24: WINDS NE-E 14-19KTS SEAS 3-4 SWELLS N-NNE 5-7FT (10SEC) SKIES PRTLY CLDY CURRENTS FROM E @ 0.4KTS.
T+36: WINDS NE-E 15-20KTS SEAS 3-4 SWELLS N-NE 5-7FT (10SEC) SKIES PRTLY CLDY CURRENTS FROM ENE @ 0.5KTS.
EE:
T: WINDS E-SE 08-13KTS SEAS 1-2 SWELLS ENE-ESE 3-5FT (7SEC) SKIES PRTLY CLDY CURRENTS FROM SE @ 0.2KTS.
T+12: WINDS ENE-ESE 07-12KTS SEAS 1-2 SWELLS ENE-ESE 3-5FT (7SEC) SKIES PRTLY CLDY CURRENTS FROM SSE @ 0.3KTS.
T+24: WINDS NE-E 10-15KTS SEAS 2-3 SWELLS NNE-ENE 4-6FT (7SEC) SKIES PRTLY CLDY CURRENTS FROM SSW @ 0.1KTS.
T+36: WINDS ENE-ESE 14-19 GUSTS 22KTS SEAS 3-4 SWELLS NNW-NNE 5-7FT (9SEC) SKIES MSTLY CLDY CURRENTS FROM SE @ 0.4KTS.
JJ:
T: WINDS ENE-ESE 14-19KTS SEAS 3-4 SWELLS ENE-ESE 5-7FT (7SEC) SKIES PRTLY CLDY CURRENTS FROM NNE @ 0.2KTS.
T+12: WINDS ENE-ESE 15-20KTS SEAS 3-4 SWELLS ENE-ESE 4-6FT (7SEC) SKIES PRTLY CLDY CURRENTS FROM ENE @ 0.4KTS.
T+24: WINDS ENE-ESE 15-20KTS SEAS 3-4 SWELLS ENE-ESE 4-6FT (6SEC) SKIES PRTLY CLDY CURRENTS FROM NNE @ 0.3KTS.
T+36: WINDS ENE-ESE 14-19KTS SEAS 3-4 SWELLS ENE-ESE 4-6FT (6SEC) SKIES PRTLY CLDY CURRENTS FROM E @ 0.6KTS.
PP:
T: WINDS ENE-ESE 15-20KTS SEAS 3-4 SWELLS NE-E 6-8FT (7SEC) SKIES PRTLY CLDY CURRENTS FROM SSW @ 0.7KTS.
T+12: WINDS ENE-ESE 15-20KTS SEAS 3-4 SWELLS NE-E 5-7FT (7SEC) SKIES PRTLY CLDY CURRENTS FROM SSE @ 0.5KTS.
T+24: WINDS ENE-ESE 14-19KTS SEAS 3-4 SWELLS ENE-ESE 5-7FT (7SEC) SKIES PRTLY CLDY CURRENTS FROM SSE @ 0.8KTS.
T+36: WINDS ENE-ESE 12-17KTS SEAS 2-3 SWELLS ENE-ESE 4-6FT (6SEC) SKIES PRTLY CLDY CURRENTS FROM S @ 1.1KTS.
QQ:
T: WINDS ENE-ESE 15-20KTS SEAS 3-4 SWELLS NE-E 5-7FT (8SEC) SKIES PRTLY CLDY CURRENTS FROM E @ 0.2KTS.
T+12: WINDS ENE-ESE 15-20KTS SEAS 3-4 SWELLS ENE-ESE 5-7FT (8SEC) SKIES PRTLY CLDY CURRENTS FROM E @ 0.4KTS.
T+24: WINDS ENE-ESE 14-19KTS SEAS 3-4 SWELLS ENE-ESE 5-7FT (7SEC) SKIES PRTLY CLDY CURRENTS FROM NNE @ 0.3KTS.
T+36: WINDS ENE-ESE 12-17KTS SEAS 3-4 SWELLS ENE-ESE 4-6FT (7SEC) SKIES MSTLY CLDY CURRENTS FROM E @ 0.3KTS.
* WINDS AND SEAS HIGHER IN SQUALLS
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