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ARC WEATHER 03/12 0600Z - FORECAST UPDATE #9



ARC WEATHER 03/12 0600Z - FORECAST UPDATE #9
03/12/2014


Synopsis. Strong ridging now across n'rn Iberia will expand S to the west of Portugal today, but this ridging will broaden/weaken nicely tonight into tomorrow, with broad ridging then encompassing madeira to the canary islands later tomorrow thrU 5/12.

Low pressure east of the Azores midday 5/12 will weaken to a trough as it moves S to near the Canary Islands by midday 6/12. This trough is expected to drift S and broaden through 8/12. North of the trough will be strong ridging.

A low will develop mid-ocean on 6/12 with center east of Bermuda near 35n/55w by the morning of the 06th. This low will develop into a gale with center SE of Newfoundland by late 6/12 early 7/12 with center near 45N/50W. Gale will continue NE with center near 50N/37W by mid-day 7/12, while strengthening into a storm.

Conclusion: Yachts in more n'rn grids AA, BB ,CC, DD, EE ,FF will see slight freshening to winds on 4/12, with highest winds particularly in n'rn areas of grid AA, and n'rn half of EE. Winds will remain moderate to fresh in more s'rn grids, NN, OO, PP, QQ , RR. Swells will gradually build in n'rn half of grids DD and EE on 4/12. Swells will be higher in n'rn exposed waters of grid AA on 4/12 (up to 7-9 feet), though long period. Most consistent winds are expected in grids GG, HH, JJ, KK over the next 2 days.

T = 03/12 0600 UTC

AA:
T: WINDS N-NE 12-17KTS SEAS 2-3 SWELLS N-NE 5-7FT (2SEC) SKIES PRTLY CLDY SHWRS/SQUALLS* CURRENTS FROM NE @ 0.2KTS.
T+12: WINDS N-NE 12-17KTS SEAS 2-4 SWELLS N-NE  5-7FT (3SEC) SKIES PRTLY CLDY SHWRS/SQUALLS* CURRENTS FROM NE @ 0.3KTS.
T+24: WINDS N-NE 14-19KTS SEAS 2-4 SWELLS N-NE 5-7FT (3SEC) SKIES PRTLY CLDY SHWRS/SQUALLS* CURRENTS FROM NE @ 0.1KTS.
T+36: WINDS NE-E 14-19KTS SEAS 2-4 SWELLS N-NE 5-7FT (2SEC) SKIES MOSTLY CLDY SCATTERED SHWRS/SQUALLS* CURRENTS FROM NE @ 0.4KTS.

BB:
T: WINDS NE-E 13-18KTS SEAS 2-4 SWELLS N-NE 5-7FT (3SEC) SKIES PRTLY CLDY SHWRS/SQUALLS* CURRENTS FROM ESE @ 0.3KTS.
T+12: WINDS NE-E 16-21KTS SEAS 2-4 SWELLS N-NE 5-7FT (4SEC) SKIES PRTLY CLDY SHWRS/SQUALLS* CURRENTS FROM SW @ 0.2KTS.
T+24: WINDS NE-E 14-19KTS SEAS 2-3 SWELLS N-NE 4-6FT (4SEC) SKIES PRTLY CLDY SHWRS/SQUALLS* CURRENTS FROM ESE @ 0.2KTS.
T+36: WINDS NE-E 15-20KTS SEAS 2-4 SWELLS N-NE 5-7FT (4SEC) SKIES PRTLY CLDY SCATTERED SHWRS/SQUALLS* CURRENTS FROM SSW @ 0.3KTS.

CC:
T: WINDS NE-E  15-20KTS SEAS 2-4 SWELLS NE-E  5-7FT (5SEC) SKIES PRTLY CLDY SHWRS/SQUALLS* CURRENTS FROM S @ 0.6KTS.
T+12: WINDS NE-E 14-19KTS SEAS 2-3 SWELLS N-NE 5-7FT (6SEC) SKIES CLDY SHWRS/SQUALLS* CURRENTS FROM SSW @ 0.7KTS.
T+24: WINDS NE-E 12-17KTS SEAS 2-4 SWELLS N-NE 5-7FT (6SEC) SKIES PRTLY CLDY SHWRS/SQUALLS* CURRENTS FROM S @ 0.7KTS.
T+36: WINDS NE-E 10-19KTS SEAS 2-4 SWELLS N-NE 4-6FT (5SEC) SKIES MOSTLY CLDY SCATTERED SHWRS/SQUALLS* CURRENTS FROM SSW @ 0.7KTS.

DD:
T: WINDS NE-E 12-17KTS SEAS 1-3 SWELLS N-NE 5-7FT (9SEC) SKIES PRTLY CLDY SHWRS/SQUALLS* CURRENTS FROM SE @ 0.3KTS.
T+12: WINDS NE-E 12-17KTS SEAS 1-3 SWELLS N-NE 5-7FT (9SEC) SKIES MOSTLY CLDY SHWRS/SQUALLS* CURRENTS FROM SSE @ 0.4KTS.
T+24: WINDS NE-E(45 - 90)  10-15KTS SEAS 1-3 SWELLS N-NE 5-7FT (9SEC) SKIES PRTLY CLDY SHWRS/SQUALLS* CURRENTS FROM SSE @ 0.4KTS.
T+36: WINDS NE-E(45 - 90)  12-17KTS SEAS 2-3 SWELLS N-NE 5-8FT (9SEC) SKIES MOSTLY CLDY SCATTERED SHWRS/SQUALLS* CURRENTS FROM SSE @ 0.6KTS.

EE:
T: WINDS E-SE 15-20KTS SEAS 2-3 SWELLS N-NE 5-7FT (9SEC) SKIES MOSTLY CLDY SHWRS/SQUALLS* CURRENTS FROM SSW @ 0.3KTS.
T+12: WINDS E-SE 14-19KTS SEAS 2-3 SWELLS N-NE 5-7FT (9SEC) SKIES MOSTLY CLDY SHWRS/SQUALLS* CURRENTS FROM S @ 0.4KTS.
T+24: WINDS E-SE 15-20KTS SEAS 2-3 SWELLS N-NE 6-8FT (9SEC) SKIES CLDY SHWRS/SQUALLS* CURRENTS FROM S @ 0.4KTS.
T+36: WINDS NE-E 15-20KTS SEAS 2-3 SWELLS N-NE 6-8FT (9SEC) SKIES PRTLY CLDY SCATTERED SHWRS/SQUALLS* CURRENTS FROM S @ 0.2KTS.

HH:
T: WINDS NE-E 13-18KTS SEAS 2-3 SWELLS N-NE  4-7FT (4SEC) SKIES MOSTLY CLDY SHWRS/SQUALLS* CURRENTS FROM N @ 0.1KTS.
T+12: WINDS NE-E 12-17KTS SEAS 2-4 SWELLS N-NE 4-7FT (4SEC) SKIES PRTLY CLDY SHWRS/SQUALLS* CURRENTS FROM ENE @ 0.6KTS.
T+24: WINDS NE-E 10-15KTS SEAS 2-4 SWELLS N-NE 4-7FT (5SEC) SKIES PRTLY CLDY SHWRS/SQUALLS* CURRENTS FROM SSE / WEAKKTS.
T+36: WINDS NE-E 13-18KTS SEAS 2-4 SWELLS N-NE 4-7FT (5SEC) SKIES PRTLY CLDY SCATTERED SHWRS/SQUALLS* CURRENTS FROM E @ 0.6KTS.

II:
T: WINDS NE-E 16-21KTS SEAS 2-4 SWELLS N-NE  6-8FT (9SEC) SKIES MOSTLY CLDY SHWRS/SQUALLS* CURRENTS FROM N @ 0.6KTS.
T+12: WINDS NE-E 14-19KTS SEAS 1-3 SWELLS N-NE 5-7FT (9SEC) SKIES MOSTLY CLDY SHWRS/SQUALLS* CURRENTS FROM NNE @ 0.6KTS.
T+24: WINDS NE-E 13-18KTS SEAS 1-3 SWELLS N-NE 4-6FT (9SEC) SKIES MOSTLY CLDY SHWRS/SQUALLS* CURRENTS FROM NNE @ 0.6KTS.
T+36: WINDS NE-E 12-17KTS SEAS 1-3 SWELLS N-NE 4-6FT (9SEC) SKIES PRTLY CLDY SCATTERED SHWRS/SQUALLS* CURRENTS FROM N @ 0.4KTS.

JJ:
T: WINDS NE-E 13-18KTS SEAS 2-4 SWELLS N-NE  5-7FT (9SEC) SKIES CLDY SHWRS/SQUALLS* CURRENTS FROM NE @ 0.2KTS.
T+12: WINDS E-SE 13-18KTS SEAS 2-3 SWELLS N-NE 5-7FT (9SEC) SKIES MOSTLY CLDY SHWRS/SQUALLS* CURRENTS FROM ESE @ 0.5KTS.
T+24: WINDS E-SE 14-19KTS SEAS 2-3 SWELLS N-NE 5-7FT (9SEC) SKIES MOSTLY CLDY SHWRS/SQUALLS* CURRENTS FROM ENE @ 0.3KTS.
T+36: WINDS NE-E 14-19KTS SEAS 2-3 SWELLS N-NE 5-7FT (9SEC) SKIES MOSTLY CLDY SCATTERED SHWRS/SQUALLS* CURRENTS FROM ESE @ 0.5KTS.

KK:
T: WINDS E-SE 13-18KTS SEAS 2-3 SWELLS N-NE 5-7FT (8SEC) SKIES MOSTLY CLDY SHWRS/SQUALLS* CURRENTS FROM S @ 0.1KTS.
T+12: WINDS E-SE 12-17KTS SEAS 1-3 SWELLS N-NE 5-7FT (9SEC) SKIES PRTLY CLDY SCATTERED SHWRS/SQUALLS* CURRENTS FROM SW @ 0.3KTS.
T+24: WINDS E-SE 11-16KTS SEAS 2-3 SWELLS N-NE 5-7FT (9SEC) SKIES PRTLY CLDY SHWRS/SQUALLS* CURRENTS FROM SSE @ 0.2KTS.
T+36: WINDS E-SE 12-17KTS SEAS 2-3 SWELLS N-NE 5-7FT (9SEC) SKIES PRTLY CLDY SCATTERED SHWRS/SQUALLS* CURRENTS FROM SSW @ 0.2KTS.

NN:
T: WINDS NE-E 11-16KTS SEAS 2-3 SWELLS N-NE  4-6FT (3SEC) SKIES PRTLY CLDY SCATTERED SHWRS/SQUALLS* CURRENTS FROM SSW @ 0.4KTS.
T+12: WINDS NE-E 13-18KTS SEAS 2-4 SWELLS N-NE 4-6FT (3SEC) SKIES CLDY SCATTERED SHWRS/SQUALLS* CURRENTS FROM ESE @ 0.3KTS.
T+24: WINDS NE-E 14-19KTS SEAS 1-3 SWELLS N-NE 4-6FT (4SEC) SKIES PRTLY CLDY SCATTERED SHWRS/SQUALLS* CURRENTS FROM SSW @ 0.2KTS.
T+36: WINDS NE-E 15-20KTS SEAS 2-3 SWELLS N-NE 4-6FT (4SEC) SKIES CLDY. ISOLATED SHWRS/SQUALLS* CURRENTS FROM SSE @ 0.2KTS.

OO:
T: WINDS NE-E 16-21KTS SEAS 2-3 SWELLS N-NE  5-7FT (10SEC) SKIES PRTLY CLDY SCATTERED SHWRS/SQUALLS* CURRENTS FROM E @ 0.9KTS.
T+12: WINDS NE-E 14-19KTS SEAS 2-3 SWELLS N-NE 5-7FT (9SEC) SKIES CLDY SCATTERED SHWRS/SQUALLS* CURRENTS FROM E @ 0.9KTS.
T+24: WINDS NE-E 14-19KTS SEAS 1-3 SWELLS N-NE 4-6FT (9SEC) SKIES MOSTLY CLDY SCATTERED SHWRS/SQUALLS* CURRENTS FROM ENE @ 0.5KTS.
T+36: WINDS NE-E 13-18KTS SEAS 2-3 SWELLS N-NE 4-6FT (9SEC) SKIES PRTLY CLDY. ISOLATED SHWRS/SQUALLS* CURRENTS FROM ENE @ 1.1KTS.

PP:
T: WINDS E-SE 13-18KTS SEAS 2-3 SWELLS N-NE 4-6FT (8SEC) SKIES CLDY SCATTERED SHWRS/SQUALLS* CURRENTS FROM SSE @ 0.8KTS.
T+12: WINDS E-SE 11-16KTS SEAS 2-3 SWELLS N-NE 5-7FT (9SEC) SKIES CLDY SCATTERED SHWRS/SQUALLS* CURRENTS FROM SSE @ 0.7KTS.
T+24: WINDS E-SE 12-17KTS SEAS 2-3 SWELLS N-NE 5-7FT (9SEC) SKIES PRTLY CLDY SCATTERED SHWRS/SQUALLS* CURRENTS FROM SSE @ 0.6KTS.
T+36: WINDS E-SE 12-17KTS SEAS 2-3 SWELLS N-NE 5-7FT (9SEC) SKIES PRTLY CLDY. ISOLATED SHWRS/SQUALLS* CURRENTS FROM SE @ 1KTS.

QQ:
T: WINDS E-SE 12-17KTS SEAS 2-3 SWELLS NE-E 4-6FT (7SEC) SKIES PRTLY CLDY. ISOLATED SHWRS/SQUALLS* CURRENTS FROM WNW @ 0.4KTS.
T+12: WINDS E-SE 12-17KTS SEAS 2-3 SWELLS NE-E 4-6FT (7SEC) SKIES PRTLY CLDY SCATTERED SHWRS/SQUALLS* CURRENTS FROM S @ 0.4KTS.
T+24: WINDS E-SE 13-18KTS SEAS 2-3 SWELLS NE-E 4-6FT (9SEC) SKIES PRTLY CLDY. ISOLATED SHWRS/SQUALLS* CURRENTS FROM WSW @ 0.3KTS.
T+36: WINDS E-SE 13-18KTS SEAS 2-3 SWELLS N-NE 4-6FT (9SEC) SKIES PRTLY CLDY. ISOLATED SHWRS/SQUALLS* CURRENTS FROM S @ 0.5KTS

RR:
T: WINDS E-SE 11-16KTS SEAS 2-3 SWELLS NE-E 4-6FT (3SEC) SKIES PRTLY CLDY. ISOLATED SHWRS/SQUALLS* CURRENTS FROM NNE @ 0.6KTS.
T+12: WINDS E-SE 12-18KTS SEAS 1-3 SWELLS NE-E 4-6FT (3SEC) SKIES CLEAR. CURRENTS FROM NE @ 0.8KTS.
T+24: WINDS E-SE 12-17KTS SEAS 2-3 SWELLS NE-E 4-6FT (3SEC) SKIES PRTLY CLDY. ISOLATED SHWRS/SQUALLS* CURRENTS FROM ENE @ 0.8KTS.
T+36: WINDS E-SE 11-16KTS SEAS 1-3 SWELLS NE-E 4-6FT (3SEC) SKIES PRTLY CLDY. ISOLATED SHWRS/SQUALLS* CURRENTS FROM ENE @ 0.4KTS.

* WINDS AND SEAS HIGHER IN SQUALLS