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ARC WEATHER 04/12 0600Z - FORECAST UPDATE #10



ARC WEATHER 04/12 0600Z - FORECAST UPDATE #10
04/12/2014

Synopsis: A strong upper level low pressure area near 36N/16W later on the 5/12 will move S to the canaries thru the 5/12 while dissipating. Behind this, strong high pressure ridging will build E over mid-ocean with center near 45N/30W by the morning of the 5/12 this ridging will slowly move E with center near 40N/25W by the 8/12.  A storm well north with center off of Iceland will move e towards NW Ireland while weakening thru the 5/12. A piece of the storm will move SE along Portugal on the 6/12, then move W over mid-ocean along a weak trough of low pressure. A low will develop west of the high pressure, with center near 37N/52W by the 7/12. Low will move NE to near 50N/35W by the 8/12. Otherwise, broad, weak high pressure ridging over S north Atlantic from 10n to 30N and from 20w to 60W will remain in place thru the 10/12.

Conclusion: Swells will be highest in N areas of grid AA thru the 06/12. Swells will slowly build from N grids to S grids over the next several days due to aforementioned trough of low pressure. Swells will be higher in N half of grids BB, CC, DD, EE, FF on the 6/12. Swells will gradually build in grids GG, HH, II, JJ, KK on the 8/12, with higher swells building on the 9/12 in grids NN, OO, PP, QQ. Winds will also freshen from N grids to S grids, starting on the 6/12, with freshening winds in grids BB, CC, DD, EE, FF.  Winds will freshen on the 7/12 in grids GG, GG, II, JJ, KK. Winds will freshen in grids NN, OO, PP, QQ on 09/12.

T = 4/12 0600 UTC

SHWRS/SQUALLS*IN ALL GRID AREAS

AA:
T:  WINDS NE-E 14-19KTS SEAS 2-4 SWELLS N-NE 8-10FT (3SEC) SKIES PRTLY CLDY CURRENTS FROM NE @ 0.3KTS.
T+12:  WINDS NE-E 14-19KTS SEAS 2-4 SWELLS N-NE 7-9FT (2SEC) SKIES PRTLY CLDY CURRENTS FROM NE @ 0.3KTS.
T+24:  WINDS NE-E 10-15KTS SEAS 2-3 SWELLS N-NE 6-8FT (3SEC) SKIES PRTLY CLDY CURRENTS FROM NE @ 0.5KTS.
T+36:  WINDS NE-E 12-17KTS SEAS 2-4 SWELLS N-NE   6-8FT (3SEC) SKIES CLDY CURRENTS FROM NE @ 0.3KTS.

BB:
T:  WINDS NE-E 13-18KTS SEAS 2-4 SWELLS N-NE 6-8FT (4SEC) SKIES PRTLY CLDY CURRENTS FROM SSE @ 0.4KTS.
T+12:  WINDS NE-E 14-19KTS SEAS 2-4 SWELLS N-NE 7-9FT (4SEC) SKIES PRTLY CLDY CURRENTS FROM ESE @ 0.2KTS.
T+24:  WINDS NE-E 16-21KTS SEAS 3-4 SWELLS N-NE 7-9FT (4SEC) SKIES PRTLY CLDY CURRENTS FROM ESE @ 0.5KTS.
T+36:  WINDS NE-E 18-23KTS SEAS 4-5 SWELLS N-NE 6-8FT (4SEC) SKIES CLDY CURRENTS FROM ESE @ 0.2KTS.

CC:
T:  WINDS NE-E 17-22KTS SEAS 2-3 SWELLS NE-E 5-7FT (5SEC) SKIES PRTLY CLDY CURRENTS FROM SSW @ 0.8KTS.
T+12:  WINDS NE-E 14-19KTS SEAS 2-4 SWELLS NE-E 5-7FT (5SEC) SKIES PRTLY CLDY CURRENTS FROM SSW @ 0.6KTS.
T+24:  WINDS NE-E 16-21KTS SEAS 2-4 SWELLS NE-E 6-8FT (5SEC) SKIES PRTLY CLDY CURRENTS FROM S @ 0.7KTS.
T+36:  WINDS NE-E 18-23KTS SEAS 5-7 SWELLS NE-E 6-8FT (6SEC) SKIES PRTLY CLDY CURRENTS FROM SSW @ 0.5KTS.

DD:
T:  WINDS NE-E 16-21KTS SEAS 2-3 SWELLS N-NE 5-7FT (9SEC) SKIES PRTLY CLDY CURRENTS FROM ESE @ 0.4KTS.
T+12:  WINDS NE-E 17-22KTS SEAS 2-3 SWELLS N-NE 6-8FT (9SEC) SKIES MOSTLY CLDY CURRENTS FROM SSE @ 0.3KTS.
T+24:  WINDS NE-E 18-23KTS SEAS 3-4 SWELLS N-NE 7-9FT (8SEC) SKIES CLDY CURRENTS FROM SE @ 0.5KTS.
T+36:  WINDS NE-E 20-25KTS SEAS 4-6 SWELLS N-NE 7-9FT (9SEC) SKIES MOSTLY CLDY CURRENTS FROM SE @ 0.4KTS.

EE:
T:  WINDS ENE-ESE 18-23KTS SEAS 2-3 SWELLS N-NE 6-8FT (9SEC) SKIES MOSTLY CLDY. CURRENTS FROM W @ 0.1KTS.
T+12:  WINDS ENE-ESE 18-23KTS SEAS 2-4 SWELLS N-NE 6-8FT (9SEC) SKIES MOSTLY CLDY CURRENTS FROM SSE @ 0.2KTS.
T+24:  WINDS ENE-ESE 17-22KTS SEAS 2-4 SWELLS N-NE 7-9FT (9SEC) SKIES PRTLY CLDY CURRENTS FROM NW @ 0.1KTS.
T+36:  WINDS ENE-ESE 18-23KTS SEAS 3-4 SWELLS N-NE 7-9FT (9SEC) SKIES CLDY CURRENTS FROM SE @ 0.1KTS.

HH:
T:  WINDS ENE-ESE 17-22KTS SEAS 2-3 SWELLS N-NE 6-8FT (5SEC) SKIES PRTLY CLDY. CURRENTS FROM NNE @ 0.4KTS.
T+12:  WINDS ENE-ESE 16-21KTS SEAS 2-4 SWELLS NE-E 5-7FT (5SEC) SKIES PRTLY CLDY CURRENTS FROM ESE @ 0.5KTS.
T+24:  WINDS NE-E 15-20KTS SEAS 2-4 SWELLS NE-E 5-7FT (5SEC) SKIES CLDY CURRENTS FROM NNE @ 0.3KTS.
T+36:  WINDS ENE-ESE 17-22KTS SEAS 2-4 SWELLS NE-E 6-8FT (5SEC) SKIES CLDY CURRENTS FROM E @ 0.7KTS.

II:
T:  WINDS ENE-ESE 14-19KTS SEAS 1-3 SWELLS NE-E 5-7FT (9SEC) SKIES PRTLY CLDY CURRENTS FROM N @ 0.5KTS.
T+12:  WINDS ENE-ESE 13-18KTS SEAS 2-3 SWELLS N-NE 4-6FT (9SEC) SKIES MOSTLY CLDY CURRENTS FROM N @ 0.7KTS.
T+24:  WINDS ENE-ESE 15-20KTS SEAS 2-3 SWELLS N-NE 4-6FT (9SEC) SKIES MOSTLY CLDY CURRENTS FROM NE @ 0.5KTS.
T+36:  WINDS ENE-ESE 14-19KTS SEAS 3-4 SWELLS N-NE 5-7FT (8SEC) SKIES PRTLY CLDY CURRENTS FROM NNW @ 0.6KTS.

JJ:
T:  WINDS ENE-ESE 13-18KTS SEAS 2-3 SWELLS NE-E 5-7FT (9SEC) SKIES CLDY CURRENTS FROM E @ 0.4KTS.
T+12:  WINDS ENE-ESE 13-18KTS SEAS 2-3 SWELLS N-NE 5-7FT (9SEC) SKIES PRTLY CLDY CURRENTS FROM ENE @ 0.1KTS.
T+24:  WINDS ENE-ESE 13-18KTS SEAS 2-3 SWELLS N-NE 5-7FT (9SEC) SKIES PRTLY CLDY CURRENTS FROM ENE @ 0.2KTS.
T+36:  WINDS ENE-ESE 15-20KTS SEAS 2-3 SWELLS N-NE 5-7FT (9SEC) SKIES MOSTLY CLDY CURRENTS FROM E @ 0.2KTS.

NN:
T:  WINDS NE-E 14-19KTS SEAS 2-4 SWELLS N-NE 4-6FT (3SEC) SKIES CLDYCURRENTS FROM SSE @ 0.2KTS.
T+12:  WINDS NE-E 14-19KTS SEAS 2-3 SWELLS N-NE 4-6FT (4SEC) SKIES CLDY CURRENTS FROM SSE @ 0.2KTS.
T+24:  WINDS NE-E 17-22KTS SEAS 2-4 SWELLS N-NE 4-6FT (4SEC) SKIES CLDY CURRENTS FROM S @ 0.1KTS.
T+36:  WINDS NE-E 16-21KTS SEAS 3-4 SWELLS N-NE 4-6FT (4SEC) SKIES CLDY CURRENTS FROM SSE @ 0.2KTS.

OO:
T:  WINDS NE-E 14-19KTS SEAS 2-3 SWELLS N-NE 4-6FT (9SEC) SKIES PRTLY CLDY CURRENTS FROM ENE @ 0.6KTS.
T+12:  WINDS NE-E 15-20KTS SEAS 2-3 SWELLS N-NE 4-6FT (9SEC) SKIES MOSTLY CLDY CURRENTS FROM E @ 0.8KTS.
T+24:  WINDS NE-E 16-21KTS SEAS 2-4 SWELLS N-NE 4-6FT (9SEC) SKIES CLDY CURRENTS FROM ESE @ 0.7KTS.
T+36:  WINDS NE-E 14-19KTS SEAS 2-3 SWELLS N-NE 4-6FT (9SEC) SKIES PRTLY CLDY CURRENTS FROM ESE @ 0.7KTS.

PP:
T:  WINDS ENE-ESE 14-19KTS SEAS 2-3 SWELLS N-NE 5-7FT (9SEC) SKIES PRTLY CLDY CURRENTS FROM SSE @ 0.8KTS.
T+12:  WINDS ENE-ESE 15-20KTS SEAS 2-3 SWELLS N-NE 4-6FT (9SEC) SKIES PRTLY CLDY CURRENTS FROM SSE @ 0.9KTS.
T+24:  WINDS ENE-ESE 14-19KTS SEAS 2-3 SWELLS N-NE 4-6FT (9SEC) SKIES PRTLY CLDY CURRENTS FROM SSE @ 1KTS.
T+36:  WINDS ENE-ESE 14-19KTS SEAS 2-3 SWELLS N-NE 4-6FT (8SEC) SKIES PRTLY CLDY CURRENTS FROM SSE @ 1KTS.

QQ:
T:  WINDS E-SE 12-17KTS SEAS 2-3 SWELLS N-NE 4-6FT (9SEC) SKIES MOSTLY CLDY CURRENTS FROM S @ 0.5KTS.
T+12:  WINDS E-SE 11-16KTS SEAS 2-3 SWELLS N-NE 4-6FT (9SEC) SKIES PRTLY CLDY CURRENTS FROM SSW @ 0.4KTS.
T+24:  WINDS E-SE 13-18KTS SEAS 2-3 SWELLS N-NE 4-6FT (9SEC) SKIES PRTLY CLDY CURRENTS FROM S @ 0.2KTS.
T+36:  WINDS ENE-ESE 12-17KTS SEAS 1-3 SWELLS N-NE 4-6FT (9SEC) SKIES PRTLY CLDY CURRENTS FROM SSW @ 0.3KTS.

RR:
T:  WINDS ENE-ESE 11-16KTS SEAS 2-3 SWELLS N-NE 4-6FT (3SEC) SKIES PRTLY CLDY CURRENTS FROM E @ 0.6KTS.
T+12:  WINDS ENE-ESE 12-17KTS SEAS 1-3 SWELLS N-NE 3-5FT (3SEC) SKIES PRTLY CLDY CURRENTS FROM NE @ 0.4KTS.
T+24:  WINDS E-SE 13-18KTS SEAS 1-3 SWELLS N-NE 3-5FT (3SEC) SKIES CLEAR CURRENTS FROM NE @ 0.7KTS.
T+36:  WINDS E-SE 10-15KTS SEAS 1-3 SWELLS N-NE 3-5FT (3SEC) SKIES PRTLY CLDY CURRENTS FROM E @ 0.5KTS.

* WINDS AND SEAS HIGHER IN SQUALLS