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ARC WEATHER 05/12 0600Z - FORECAST UPDATE #11



ARC WEATHER 05/12 0600Z - FORECAST UPDATE #11
05/12/2014

Synopsis:. Strong high pressure north of the Azores will weaken only slightly as it drifts s into the islands thru the 7/12. Associated ridging is moderately strong near and south of 25N between the Canaries and 50W. Stronger ridging currently nw of the canaries and along n of 30N Will build s to along 20n thru the 06th, with the stronger ridging persisting the 7/12. Low pressure near Madeira tomorrow morning will weaken to a trough as it drifts s toward the w Canaries thru am 7/12.. The trough will tend to break down/weaken somewhat as it moves more sw  thru the 8/12. Farther w, a broad trough of low pressure extends from near Anegada pass ne to and along approximately 60W. Low pressure will develop along the n end of the trough near 28N/58W this evening, strengthening as it drifts nw thru the 6/12.. The associated trough will move little thru the 6/12. Ridging e of the trough to near 50W is already broad and this will remain so thru the 7/12.

Conclusion: swells will be highest in n grids (AA, BB, CC, DD, EE, FF) on 6/12. Swells will propagate S towards grids HH, II, JJ, KK starting on7/12 and higher swells in s grids MM, NN, OO, PP, QQ. Winds will freshen from n grids to s grids, starting on the 6/12, with freshening winds in grids BB, CC, DD, EE, FF. Winds will freshen on 7/12 in grids GG, HH, II, JJ, KK. Winds will freshen in grids NN, OO, PP, QQ on 9/12.


T = 5/12 0600 UTC

SHWRS/SQUALLS*IN ALL GRID AREAS

AA :
T:  WINDS NE-E 16-21KTS SEAS 3-4 SWELLS N-NE 6-8FT (3SEC) SKIES PRTLY CLDY.CURRENTS FROM NE @ 0.3KTS.
T+12:WINDS NE-E 18-23KTS SEAS 2-4 SWELLS N-NE  6-8FT (3SEC) SKIES PRTLY CLDY.CURRENTS FROM NE @ 0.4KTS.
T+24:  WINDS NE-E 15-20KTS SEAS 2-3 SWELLS N-NE 6-8FT (2SEC) SKIES CLDY.CURRENTS FROM NE @ 0.3KTS.
T+36:  WINDS NE-E 14-19KTS SEAS 2-3 SWELLS N-NE 7-9FT (3SEC) SKIES MOSTLY CLDY CURRENTS FROM NE @ 0.4KTS.


BB :
T:  WINDS NE-E 18-23KTS SEAS 3-4 SWELLS N-NE 6-8FT (5SEC) SKIES CLDY.CURRENTS FROM E @ 0.1KTS.
T+12:WINDS NE-E 17-22KTS SEAS 3-5 SWELLS N-NE 7-9FT (3SEC) SKIES CLDY.CURRENTS FROM SSE @ 0.2KTS.
T+24:  WINDS NE-E 18-23KTS SEAS 3-5 SWELLS N-NE 8-10FT (4SEC) SKIES MOSTLY CLDY CURRENTS FROM ENE @ 0.1KTS.
T+36:  WINDS N-NE 20-25KTS SEAS 3-4 SWELLS N-NE BUILD 9-13FT (5SEC) SKIES CLDY.CURRENTS FROM SE @ 0.3KTS.

CC :
T:  WINDS NE-E 18-23KTS SEAS 3-5 SWELLS N-NE BUILD 9-13FT (5SEC) SKIES PRTLY CLDY.CURRENTS FROM S @ 0.4KTS.
T+12: WINDS NE-E 18-23KTS SEAS 4-6 SWELLS N-NE 10-13FT (6SEC) SKIES PRTLY CLDY.CURRENTS FROM SSW @ 0.7KTS.
T+24:  WINDS NE-E 22-27KTS SEAS 4-6 SWELLS N-NE BUILD 12-16FT (6SEC) SKIES CLDY.CURRENTS FROM SSE @ 0.6KTS.
T+36:  WINDS NE-E 20-25KTS SEAS 5-6 SWELLS N-NE BUILD 12-16FT (6SEC) SKIES CLDY. CURRENTS FROM SSW @ 0.6KTS.

DD :
T:  WINDS NE-E 17-22KTS SEAS 2-3 SWELLS N-NE 10-13FT (9SEC) SKIES CLDY.CURRENTS FROM SE @ 0.5KTS.
T+12:WINDS NE-E 18-23KTS SEAS 3-4 SWELLS N-NE 9-11FT (9SEC) SKIES CLDY.CURRENTS FROM SE @ 0.8KTS.
T+24:  WINDS NE-E 19-24KTS SEAS 4-6 SWELLS N-NE 9-11FT (9SEC) SKIES PRTLY CLDY.CURRENTS FROM ESE @ 0.5KTS.
T+36:  WINDS NE-E 20-25KTS SEAS 4-6 SWELLS N-NE 10-13FT (9SEC) SKIES PRTLY CLDY. CURRENTS FROM SE @ 0.6KTS.

EE :
T:  WINDS NE-E 16-21KTS SEAS 2-3 SWELLS N-NE 9-11FT (9SEC) SKIES PRTLY CLDY.CURRENTS FROM WSW @ 0.2KTS.
T+12:WINDS NE-E 16-21KTS SEAS 2-4 SWELLS N-NE 9-11FT (9SEC) SKIES MOSTLY CLDY CURRENTS FROM SE @ 0.2KTS.
T+24:  WINDS NE-E 18-23KTS SEAS 3-4 SWELLS N-NE 8-10FT (10SEC) SKIES CLDY.CURRENTS FROM S @ 0.3KTS.
T+36:  WINDS NE-E 18-23KTS SEAS 3-5 SWELLS N-NE 8-11FT (10SEC) SKIES CLDY. CURRENTS FROM SE @ 0.2KTS.

HH :
T:  WINDS NE-E 14-19KTS SEAS 2-4 SWELLS N-NE  7-9FT (5SEC) SKIES MOSTLY CLDY CURRENTS FROM SSE @ 0.2KTS.
T+12:WINDS NE-E 14-19KTS SEAS 2-4 SWELLS NE-E 6-8FT (5SEC) SKIES CLDY.CURRENTS FROM ENE @ 0.7KTS.
T+24:  WINDS NE-E 17-22KTS SEAS 2-4 SWELLS NE-E 6-8FT (5SEC) SKIES CLDY.CURRENTS FROM ESE @ 0.5KTS.
T+36:  WINDS NE- 19-24KTS SEAS 3-4 SWELLS NE-E 7-9FT (6SEC) SKIES PRTLY CLDY. CURRENTS FROM E @ 0.5KTS.

II :
T:  WINDS E-SE 17-22KTS SEAS 1-3 SWELLS N-NE 5-7FT (9SEC) SKIES MOSTLY CLDY CURRENTS FROM E @ 0.6KTS.
T+12:WINDS E-SE 14-19KTS SEAS 2-3 SWELLS N-NE 5-7FT (9SEC) SKIES PRTLY CLDY.CURRENTS FROM SE @ 0.4KTS.
T+24:  WINDS E-S 15-20KTS SEAS 2-4 SWELLS N-NE 5-7FT (7SEC) SKIES PRTLY CLDY.CURRENTS FROM E @ 0.4KTS.
T+36:  WINDS NE-E 16-21KTS SEAS 3-4 SWELLS N-NE 6-8FT (7SEC) SKIES PRTLY CLDY. CURRENTS FROM ESE @ 0.5KTS.

JJ :
T:  WINDS NE-E 13-18KTS SEAS 2-3 SWELLS N-NE 5-7FT (9SEC) SKIES PRTLY CLDY.CURRENTS FROM E @ 0.3KTS.
T+12:WINDS NE-E 13-18KTS SEAS 2-3 SWELLS N-NE 5-7FT (9SEC) SKIES CLDY.CURRENTS FROM ESE @ 0.4KTS.
T+24:  WINDS E-SE 13-18KTS SEAS 2-4 SWELLS N-NE 5-7FT (9SEC) SKIES CLDY.CURRENTS FROM ESE @ 0.3KTS.
T+36:  WINDS E-SE 16-21KTS SEAS 2-4 SWELLS N-NE 7-9FT (9SEC) SKIES MOSTLY CLDY. CURRENTS FROM SE @ 0.5KTS.

KK :
T:  WINDS E-SE 15-20KTS SEAS 2-3 SWELLS N-NE 6-8FT (9SEC) SKIES MOSTLY CLDY CURRENTS FROM SSE @ 0.4KTS.
T+12:WINDS E-SE 13-18KTS SEAS 2-3 SWELLS N-NE 6-8FT (9SEC) SKIES CLDY.CURRENTS FROM S @ 0.6KTS.
T+24:  WINDS E-SE 14-19KTS SEAS 2-4 SWELLS N-NE 6-8FT (9SEC) SKIES CLDY.CURRENTS FROM SSE @ 0.3KTS.
T+36:  WINDS E-SE 15-20KTS SEAS 2-4 SWELLS N-NE 6-8FT (9SEC) SKIES CLDY. CURRENTS FROM S @ 0.5KTS.

NN :
T:  WINDS NE-E 15-20KTS SEAS 3-5 SWELLS N-NE  5-7FT (4SEC) SKIES MOSTLY CLDY. CURRENTS FROM S @0.2KTS.
T+12:WINDS NE-E 13-18KTS SEAS 2-4 SWELLS NE-E 5-7FT (4SEC) SKIES CLDY. CURRENTS FROM ESE @ 0.2KTS.
T+24:  WINDS NE-E 13-18KTS SEAS 2-4 SWELLS NE-E 5-7FT (4SEC) SKIES CLDY. CURRENTS FROM SSW @ 0.3KTS.
T+36:  WINDS NE-E 15-20KTS SEAS 3-5 SWELLS NE-E 6-8FT (4SEC) SKIES PRTLY CLDY. CURRENTS FROM E @ 0.2KTS.

OO :
T:  WINDS NE-E 16-21KTS SEAS 1-3 SWELLS N-NE 5-7FT (9SEC) SKIES CLDY. CURRENTS FROM NE @ 0.3KTS.
T+12:WINDS NE-E 14-19KTS SEAS 2-3 SWELLS N-NE 5-7FT (9SEC) SKIES MOSTLY CLDY. CURRENTS FROM E @ 0.6KTS.
T+24:  WINDS NE-E 14-19KTS SEAS 2-3 SWELLS N-NE 5-7FT (8SEC) SKIES PRTLY CLDY. CURRENTS FROM NNE @ 0.1KTS.
T+36:  WINDS NE-E 14-19KTS SEAS 2-3 SWELLS N-NE 5-7FT (6SEC) SKIES MOSTLY CLDY. CURRENTS FROM ENE @ 0.6KTS.

PP :
T:  WINDS E-SE   15-20KTS SEAS 2-3 SWELLS N-NE 5-7FT (9SEC) SKIES PRTLY CLDY. CURRENTS FROM SE @ 1KTS.
T+12:WINDS E-SE 14-19KTS SEAS 2-3 SWELLS N-NE 5-7FT (8SEC) SKIES PRTLY CLDY. CURRENTS FROM SSE @ 1.1KTS.
T+24:  WINDS E-SE 15-20KTS SEAS 2-3 SWELLS N-NE 5-7FT (8SEC) SKIES PRTLY CLDY. CURRENTS FROM SE @ 0.7KTS.
T+36:  WINDS E-SE 15-20KTS SEAS 2-3 SWELLS N-NE 5-7FT (8SEC) SKIES MOSTLY CLDY. CURRENTS FROM SE @ 1.3KTS.

QQ :
T:  WINDS E-SE 12-17KTS SEAS 2-4 SWELLS N-NE 5-7FT (9SEC) SKIES PRTLY CLDY. CURRENTS FROM SW @ 0.3KTS.
T+12:WINDS E-SE  12-17KTS SEAS 1-3 SWELLS N-NE 5-7FT (9SEC) SKIES MOSTLY CLDY. CURRENTS FROM S @ 0.7KTS.
T+24:  WINDS E-SE13-18KTS SEAS 2-3 SWELLS N-NE 5-7FT (8SEC) SKIES PRTLY CLDY. CURRENTS FROM SSW @ 0.5KTS.
T+36:  WINDS E-SE 14-19KTS SEAS 1-3 SWELLS N-NE 5-7FT (8SEC) SKIES MOSTLY CLDY. CURRENTS FROM SSW @ 0.7KTS.

RR :
T:  WINDS E-SE 13-18KTS SEAS 1-3 SWELLS N-NE 4-6FT (4SEC) SKIES PRTLY CLDY. CURRENTS FROM ENE @ 0.5KTS.
T+12:WINDS E-S  12-17KTS SEAS 1-3 SWELLS N-NE  4-6FT (4SEC) SKIES PRTLY CLDY. CURRENTS FROM E @ 0.5KTS.
T+24:  WINDS E-SE 13-18KTS SEAS 1-3 SWELLS N-NE 4-6FT (4SEC) SKIES PRTLY CLDY. CURRENTS FROM NE @ 0.3KTS.
T+36:  WINDS E-SE 12-17KTS SEAS 2-4 SWELLS NE-E  4-6FT (3SEC) SKIES MOSTLY CLDY. CURRENTS FROM E @ 0.9KTS.

* WINDS AND SEAS HIGHER IN SQUALLS