BVI to Florida 13 May 2015

PREPARED: MAY 13 09:28Z
FM: WEATHER ROUTING INC. (WRI)

SYNOPSIS: GOOD MORNING. THIS FORECAST IS FOR ARC USA LEG 1B FROM TORTOLA TO FORT LAUDERDALE VIA THE OLD BAHAMA CHANNEL. HIGH PRESSURE NEAR 30N/52W EXTENDS AN AXIS OF BROAD RIDGING W'WARD ALONG 30N TO 75W AND BOTH THE HIGH AND RIDGE AXIS WILL RETREAT E'WARD AHEAD OF A FRONT THROUGH TOMORROW. MORE MODERATE RIDGING EXTENDS FROM THE HIGH SW'WARD T ALONG AND NORTH OF HISPANIOLA AND THE BAHAMAS AND THIS RIDGING WILL TEND TO WEAKEN THROUGH TOMORROW.

A FRONT NOW EXTENDS FROM SOUTH OF NOVA SCOTIA SW'WARD TO JUST EAST OF CAPE HATTERAS AND THEN TO NEAR GEORGIA AND THIS FRONT WILL MOVE SE'WARD TO NEAR BERMUDA SW'WARD INTO NORTH FLORIDA BY TOMORROW MORNING. AS THE FRONT CONTINUES TO DRIFT E'WARD, EXPECT LOW PRESSURE TO BEGIN DEVELOPING ALONG THE FRONT NEAR 34N/60W LATE TOMORROW.

MODERATE RIDGING LOCATED IMMEDIATELY WEST OF THE FRONT EXTENDS W'WARD INTO THE NORTHEASTERN US. THIS RIDGING WILL BROADEN THROUGH TOMORROW AS THE PARENT HIGH MOVES TO THE CHESAPEAKE BY TOMORROW EVENING.

CONCLUSION: STRONGEST WINDS WILL BE FOUND IN THE E'RN PART OF ZONE OBC DUE TO LOCAL FUNNELING EFFECTS NORTH OF MONA PASS, WITH WINDS AND SEAS GRADUALLY LOWERING FURTHER WEST INTO ZONE GULF. A GRADUAL EASING TREND IS EXPECTED ACROSS ALL GRIDS AS THE HIGH PRESSURE RIDGING WEAKENS THROUGH TOMORROW. THERE IS A CHANCE FOR ISOLATED SHOWERS AND SQUALLS IN ZONE GULF NEAR FORT LAUDERDALE THIS EVENING INTO EARLY TOMORROW MORNING. WINDS AND SEAS WILL BECOME LOCALLY ENHANCED IN AND NEAR STRONG SQUALLS.

ZONE OBC FORECAST:
13/12 GMT(T + 0):  WINDS ENE-ESE(68 - 113)  13-18 GUSTS 22KTS. COMBINED SEAS  ENE-ESE  6-8FT  (2SEC).  SKIES PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHWRS/SQUALLS*. CURRENTS FROM S @ 0.5KTS.
14/00 GMT(T + 12):  WINDS ENE-ESE(68 - 113)  17-22 GUSTS 25KTS. COMBINED SEAS  ENE-ESE  6-8FT  (2SEC).  SKIES PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHWRS/SQUALLS*. CURRENTS FROM SSE @ 0.5KTS.
14/12 GMT(T + 24):  WINDS ENE-ESE(68 - 113)  13-18KTS. COMBINED SEAS  ENE-ESE  5-7FT  (2SEC).  SKIES MOSTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHWRS/SQUALLS*. CURRENTS FROM SSE @ 0.4KTS.
15/00 GMT(T + 36):  WINDS NE-E(45 - 90)  17-22KTS. COMBINED SEAS  ENE-ESE  6-8FT  (2SEC).  SKIES PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHWRS/SQUALLS*. CURRENTS FROM SSE @ 0.5KTS.

ZONE GULF FORECAST:
13/12 GMT(T + 0):  WINDS ENE-ESE(68 - 113)  10-15KTS. COMBINED SEAS  E-SE  4-6FT  (2SEC).  SKIES CLEAR. CURRENTS FROM SSE @ 0.5KTS.
14/00 GMT(T + 12):  WINDS ENE-ESE(68 - 113)  13-18KTS. COMBINED SEAS  E-SE  5-7FT  (2SEC).  SKIES PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHWRS/SQUALLS*. CURRENTS FROM S @ 0.4KTS.
14/12 GMT(T + 24):  WINDS ENE-ESE(68 - 113)  11-16KTS. COMBINED SEAS  E-SE  4-6FT  (2SEC).  SKIES MOSTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHWRS/SQUALLS*. CURRENTS FROM E @ 0.3KTS.
15/00 GMT(T + 36):  WINDS NE-E(45 - 90)  15-20KTS. COMBINED SEAS  E-SE  4-6FT  (2SEC).  SKIES MOSTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHWRS/SQUALLS*. CURRENTS FROM ENE @ 0.6KTS.
* WINDS AND SEAS HIGHER IN SQUALLS

BEST REGARDS, WEATHER ROUTING INC. (WRI)